Updated: September 28, 2026, 1:32 p.m. Eastern — Forecast information from the 8 a.m. MST National Hurricane Center advisory.
Hurricane Polo was approaching Mexico’s Baja California Sur on Monday with sustained winds of 115 mph, prompting warnings of dangerous winds and flash floods before an expected landfall later in the day.
The National Hurricane Center’s 8 a.m. MST advisory placed the Category 3 storm about 85 miles west-southwest of Cabo San Lazaro, moving northeast at 10 mph. Forecasters expected the center to move inland along Baja California Sur Monday evening, then reach southern Sonora Tuesday morning while still a hurricane.
The latest forecast also added a U.S. impact: moisture from Polo and Post-Tropical Cyclone Odalys may contribute to heavy rainfall and flash flooding across the Southwest and southern High Plains through Tuesday. The NHC said Polo itself should dissipate over northwestern Mexico’s rugged terrain before reaching the United States.
Rainfall could reach 6–12 inches in parts of Baja California Sur and 4–6 inches in southern and central Sonora, with isolated totals of 8 inches there. The center warned of flooding, mudslides, coastal inundation and destructive waves.
Hurricane warnings covered parts of both sides of Baja California Sur and the mainland coast from Bahia Kino to Huatabampito. The NHC urged people in warning areas to finish preparations promptly and follow local weather authorities.
Reuters reported that business owners in Loreto and Ciudad Constitucion boarded up windows and doors overnight. Mexico’s civil protection authorities warned that power outages could accompany the storm. Earlier heavy rain, rough seas and winds had already disrupted coastal communities, bringing evacuations, port closures and school cancellations.
The forecast concerns conditions still ahead; it does not establish that landfall has occurred. Residents and travelers should check the latest official advisory and local civil protection instructions as the storm advances.
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